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Gaze
Arkbird Declaration

Picture

August 21, 2008


Special Report: Arkbird Conference

Those who believe it all too innocent to brush aside everything with the words “legacy of the Cold War,” and who know the origins of this vessel, may fear that its voyage will not go on in silent peace. However, the majestic form of white wings against the jet black darkness we saw from the window of our commuter shuttle evokes within us a feeling beyond words. Humankind has built something transcendent. And with that, the curtain rises on the 2008 summit on Osea’s gigantic high altitude spaceplane, the Arkbird.

Accelerated Road to Reconciliation

President Harling of Osea, which this year became the chair country, has advocated the need for a meeting of national leaders in “a place transcending national borders” ever since his inauguration. A recent example was the attempt to hold an event in the waters of the perpetually neutral Republic of Wellow, but the port authority announced an attempted terrorist incident during the sherpa process [1]. Though the process seemed to have come to a sudden halt, the truth of the matter was that the search for a borderless place had moved on. Certainly, it led to us coming together now, as we gaze down at the Earth which fills our conference room window.

The participating countries are Anea, Central Usea, Osea, Yuktobania, Verusa, Nordlands, and for the first time, a representative from the provisional autonomous government of Erusea, together forming the G7. Osea’s intent with inviting Erusea, the most right wing of the nations aligned against them, was to resolve through international cooperation new risk factors caused by refugee problems and the resurgence of old Erusean remnants.

The relationship between the rival nations of Osea and Yuktobania - nations which split the world in two - has improved with their spirit of cooperation, even to the point of the far-reaching “Joint International Space Development” program, transcending the pessimism felt by many. Although Basset Space Center - construction site of the “mass driver” which launched us high above the ground - is located in Osean territory, it is the first facility jointly constructed by the Osean Aerospace Bureau and Yuktobanian National Space Agency. Osea’s mass driver program, once a closely guarded state secret, has together with Yuktobanian engineers driven the pursuit of breakthrough technologies - a pursuit which has come to fruition.

This aggressive road to reconciliation Osea has taken is apt to be derided as domination in globalism’s clothing, but one may be convinced of their sincerity in light of those parties left destitute by policies of conflict which continued until the war’s end in ’95. One must furthermore hold the skill of the Harling administration in high regard, not merely for resolving the chaos of post-war security issues left by the previous administration, but for promoting engagement and the pioneering spirit across the world, and for bringing leaders of each nation here into outer space.

The Path to the Spacecraft

One may ask why Osea chose to hold the summit on this vessel in the first place. Perhaps it’s because it stands in relief to its singular early history.
​
The strongest point of contention between Osea and Yuktobania during the 80s in terms of policy was nuclear arms employment, and doctrine embodying “nuclear strategic concepts.” With the military strength between the two powers remaining equivalent, a movement developed from mutually assured destruction to countervailing strategy, and towards the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI). This included improvements in the capabilities of ICBMs and other strategic weapons, simultaneously alongside early warning and reconnaissance satellites for strategic monitoring, as well as means of interception. There was also an effort to establish high level platforms.

Along with improvements to ICBM range and distributed deployment of strategic missile silos by both nations, a new development came in the form of refinements to missile interception techniques. Multilayered intercontinental ballistic missile interception became possible with SBL (Satellite Based Lasers), orbital ASAT (Anti Satellite) energy weapons, etc, in addition to conventional surface to air missile based air defense systems. In response to this, improvements to orbital maneuverability and multiple warheads were explored for intercontinental ballistic missiles, along with methods for avoiding detection by early warning satellites’ IR sensors.

However, Osea identified that improvements to the stealth and performance of Yuktobanian missile launch platforms - such as their attack submarines - could outpace SBL based interception capabilities, which led the National Department of Advanced Technological Research to consider a "High-Atmosphere Mobile Spacecraft" [2] as a countermeasure. It would continuously circle at high altitude without landing, detect enemy missile launches, and proceed to the airspace around the priority target location. In cases where this deviates from its current orbit, it can make use of “atmospheric orbital transfer” [3] to make large changes to its orbital path by descending into the upper stratosphere. It can engage targets at any phase with its onboard high output laser. This was their vision.

Far above us, a truly unthinkable arms race had unfolded. The Cold War ended without seeing actual construction of a High-Atmosphere Mobile Spacecraft, but at that very time, the arrival of the Ulysses asteroid was shaking the world.

Intertwining Fate

In '96, the president of the FCU announced the period during which 1994XF04 Ulysses asteroid would collide with the Earth, and that the region most likely to suffer direct damage appeared to be the Usean continent and its surrounding area due to its estimated scope. The reason this gave even unaffected nations no cause for relief becomes clear when you consider what would happen when the asteroid’s collision orbit passes through the Earth’s Roche limit. To summarize, even if the scattered meteorites were intercepted by some means or another (in this case, the Stonehenge meteorite interceptor cannons constructed by an FCU initiative), most artificial satellites launched to this point would sustain major strikes from wide ranging groups of micrometeorites, which were predicted to remain floating in satellite orbital paths into the future.
​
Naturally both Osea and Yuktobania had intentions to assist the FCU in its attempt at an interception program, but it was difficult to say if sufficient assistance could be offered due to the human resources spent on postwar reconstruction as well as economic reasons relating to war reparations. So, to the regret of both nations, neither did anything and instead focused on the reshaping of their domestic affairs [4].

The "Ark" in the Wake of Stonehenge

The point at which the relationship between the two nations began to visibly improve starts, ironically, around the time of Ulysses’ arrival at Earth in ’99. The spell of strategic equilibrium theory having been broken, the two nations first began to take steps towards their common goals of reconstruction plans in a “post-Ulysses world,” and the ever-vexing “micrometeorite removal.” This task would fall to the “High-Atmosphere Mobile Spacecraft” once intended to glare down upon the Earth from the heavens.

A dome shaped ABL (Airborne Laser) unit was planned to be mounted in the upper portion of the hull of the High-Atmosphere Mobile Spacecraft, as designed ahead of initial construction by Osea, but this was changed to a more powerful high output anti-meteorite laser built by Yuktobania. Fragmentation missiles were also installed in response to difficulties with eliminating radiation from the laser, and the difficulty of changing orbit with so much mass. However, the ABL unit intended for installation in the lower portion of the hull became a candidate for elimination during talks between the two nations, and it was decided to amend the design. This made it impossible for the space plane to turn its cannon towards the ground, but the historic resolve of the two nations to convert this SDI weapon for peaceful purposes, along with the breakthrough technologies, has come to have a great influence on neighboring nations.
​
The High-Atmosphere Mobile Spacecraft Arkbird, which began operations as though to replace Usea’s “Stonehenge” meteorite interceptor cannons lost during the war, has attained results beyond expectation. The area secured up to this point is equivalent to about 80% of area available for geosynchronous orbit. Furthermore, the possibility of gradually shifting the Arkbird’s operations towards becoming new space platform with unrivaled potential is being tested. It will continue to deal with space debris scattered in orbit, but the plan is to utilize it as a foothold towards construction of a permanent space station by Osea and Yuktobania in the future. Central Usea and Verusa have already announced their participation, and it is expected to become a global megaproject in the future. This means a new era leading to a establishment of a world order, and we expect the mission of the “ark” on which we ride will continue untroubled - this mission to, as its name implies, bring us into a new world.

The Arkbird Declaration

Representatives from every nation support the spirit of cooperation between Osea and Yuktobania, which has basically redrawn the global political landscape with the end of the Cold War. Further, dramatic trends towards democracy, economies based on market principles, and progress towards social justice are to accelerate after this meeting. As regards to disarmament and nuclear nonproliferation, the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) is beginning to come into effect, with efforts to promote nuclear nonproliferation, including universalization, continuing. We are currently moving on to the Secondary Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START2), beginning with strides towards tackling the problem of surplus weapons grade plutonium. Moreover, agreement to open the path towards a new partnership to share responsibilities for the refugee problems and other issues in Usea and its surrounding region, which suffered a historic natural disaster, has been reached. We conclude that we are entering an era where cooperation is replacing conflict.

This world belongs to all of us,
Let us all use it in peace,
A new journey towards the horizon spreading before our eyes, and towards far off space.

Picture

Translation Notes

[1] Sherpas are representatives for the heads of state planning to attend real-life G7, G8, and G20 Summits.  Over the course of several pre-summits, they generate talking points and plan possible agreements for the actual summit.

​[2] 大気機動宇宙機 could be translated a number of ways, but it is rendered as "High-Atmosphere Mobile Spacecraft" in Aces at War.

[3] Though similar in name and theory to the real process of aeroassisted orbital transfer, 大気利用軌道変換 is different kanji and only appears in science fiction rather than technical writing.

[4] ​Literally "forms of government," contextually shifts in policy due to postwar detene and reconstruction.

Original Text

特集「アークバード会議」
​
「冷戦の遺産」という一言で片付けてしまうにはあまりにも神々しく、またその礎を知る者にとっては、この「船」が平穏な航海を約束されているものでもないと危惧することだろう。しかし定期シャトルの窓から見える漆黒の闇に浮かぶ白い鳥の荘厳な姿は、 我々に言菓を超えた感情を沸き立たせる。人間は計り知れないものを作ったのだ。高高度を飛行するオーシア遣邦保有の巨大宇宙機「アークパ一ド」。2008年のサミット〔先進国首脳会議〕は、 ここに開幕する。

「加速する融和路線」

今年議長国となったオーシア連邦のハーリング大統領は、就任以来「国境を越えた場所」での首脳会議の必要性を説いてきた過去にもそれに近い例として永世中立国であるウェロー民主連邦国遠洋での開催が試みられたことがあったが、シェルバ期間中に港湾部でテ口未遂事件が発生。急遽中止となった経緯もあり、真の意味でのボーダレス・ボイントを探し続けていたようだ。確かに今そこへ我々は集い、会議室の窓に広がる地球を眺めるに至る。

参加国はアネア、中央ユージア、オーシア、ユークトパニア、ベルーサ、丿ルトランド、そして今回新たにエルジア暫定自治政府代表を含め、G7となった。戦時下においての、いわば敵対同盟の最右翼に位置するエルジアを参加させたオーシアの意図としては、依然統く旧エルジア残存勢力の再燃と難民問題に起因する新たな不安定要因を、国際協カのもとに解決するためだ。

事実世界を二分して渡り合ったオーシア・ユークトバニア両国よる協調姿勢は、 大勢の悲観論を乗り越え「国際共同宇宙開発」という遠大な計画にまで関係を進めている。我々を地上はるか彼方まで打ち上げたパセッ卜宇宙憂地併設の「マスドライバー」は、 建設地こそオーシア領内ではあるが、 オーシア航空宇宙局とユークトバニア遣邦宇宙庁によって初めて共同建設された施設である。オーシアにとっては国家最重要機密であったマスドライパー計画もまた、 ユークトパニアのエンジニア達による画期的技術を取り入れることで推進し、 結実したのである。

こうしたオーシアの強攻とも言える融和路線は、ともすればグローバリスムの皮を被った支配とも揶揄されるが、’95年の終戦時まで続いた競争政策の実質的破綻を蒙った当事者であることを鑑みれば納得のいくものである。 さらに前政権がもたらした戦後保障の混乱を収拾するだけに留まらず、 世界中に新たな開拓心と雇用を波及させ、各国首脳を宇宙空間にまで牽引してきたハ一リング政権の手腕は髙く評価されて良いだろう。

「大気機動宇宙機に至る道」

そもそも何故オーシアが今回のサミットを開催するにあたり、この艦を選んだのだろうか。 それはこの船が待つ稀有な生い立ちかち紐解く事ができるだろろ。

‘80年代においてオーシア•ユ-クトパニア両陣営が争った最も大きな競争的政策として、 核兵器の運用政策並びに宣言政策に代表される「核戦略構想」があげられる。二国間の軍事カは均衡を保つ機に変遷を続け、確証破壊戦略から相殺戦略、 そして戦略防衛構想(SDI)へと発展していった。 これはICBMなど戦略兵器の性能向上からくるものであると同時に、戦略監視としての早期警戒衛星や偵察衛星、迎撃手段も含めた、 高レベルなプラッ卜フォームの整備が行われていった結集でもある。

ICBMの長射程化や両陣営内での戦略ミサイルサイロの分散配備が進むにつれ、 新たにもたらされた段階としてミサイル迎攣技術の先鋭化がある。従来の地対空ミサイル等による防空システムに加え、SBL(Satellite Based Laser:衛星搭載レーザー)兵器や運動エネルギー兵器搭載のASAT(Anti Satellite:攻撃衛星)等の宇宙配備により、大陸間弾道ミサイルヘの多層的な迎撃・攻撃が可能とまでになった。これにより弾道ミサイル側は、より柔歓性に富む軌道変換や多弾頭化、並びに早期警戒衛星のIRセンサーからの回避手段を模索することとなる。
しかしユークトバニア側の攻撃型潜水艦に代表されるミサイル発射プラットフォームのステルス化•高性能化は・オーシアが有するSBL侍つ迎撃性能を上回る可能性が指摘され、当時の国防総省高等研究計画局により新たな対抗手段として「大気機動宇宙機」というカタゴリーが考察されるに至った。これは地上に降りること無く高空を周回し続け、敵ミサイルの発射を感知し次第目標地点までの該当空域へ急行。もし本来の軌道面から離れていたとしても、大気圏上層に降下に軌道面を大きく変更する「大気利用軌道変換」を用いて会敵し、搭載された高出力レーザーにていかなる段階(フェーズ)でも攻撃を可能とする、という構想である。

我々頭上では、真に想像を絶する兵器開発競争が繰り広げられていたのだ。大気機動宇宙機という構想自体は実証建造を待たずして戦争が終わるが、それとぼぼ同時に世界を震撼させたのが「小惑星ユリシーズ」の飛来である。

「絡み合う運命」

‘96年、FCU大続領が公表した小惑星「1994XF04ユリシース」の地球衝突時期、予測範囲から、直接被害を蒙る可能性が大きい地域はユージア大陸周辺のみとみられた。 だが当事者以外の国々も決して楽観視できるものではないことは、この小惑星の衝突軌道が地球のロシュ限界点を通過するという事から明らかであった。つまり何らかの手段(この場合、FCU主導で建造された隕石迎撃砲「ストーンへンジ」を楷す)で分散した隕石群を迎撃できたとしても、 広範囲にちらばる微小隕石群により過去に打ち上げた人工衛星の大半が壊滅的な打撃を受け、 将来的にも衛星軌道上に浮かび続けるだろうことが予見されたのだ。

もちろんオーシア・ユークトバニア両国共FCUが企てた迎撃計画に参画する意思はあったものの、戦後復興に費やす人的資源や戦後保証に関する経済的理由により十分な加勢ができるとは言いがたく、両者遺憾に思いながらも、自らに課せられた国家体制の立て直しを急務として取り組むほか無かった。

「ストーンヘンジ無きあとの“方舟”」

両国間の関係が目に見える形で修復を始めたのは、皮肉にも「ユリシース」が地球に飛来する’99年始め頃らである。戦略均衡論の呪縛から解き放たれた両国は先ず、「ユリシース以降」の世界での復興計画、並びに懸念されている「微小隕石群の除去」という共通の目的に向かって歩み始める事となった。そこで白羽の矢が立ったのが、かつて天空より地を睥睨することを定められていた「大気機動宇宙機」の存在である。

オーシア側で実証建造に先駆け設計されていた大気機動宇宙機の船体上部には、ドーム状のABL(Airborne Laser:弾道ミサイル迎撃用レーザー)ユニットが設けられる予定であったが、この部分はより効果的なユークトパニア製の対微小隕石用高出力レーザーに変更。またレーザー照射での除去及び軌道変更が困難な質量物にも対応するため、破砕用ミサイルも搭載された。しかし船休下部に装備される予定であったABLユニット部分は、両国間の協議のもと除外対象となり、設計変更が決定される。これによってこの宇宙機は地上に向けて砲を向けることが不可能となったが、SDI兵器を平和利用に転換するという両国の歴史的な英断は、新たな技術革新とともに、近隣の国家間に多大な影響を与えるに至った。

ユージア大陸戦争中に失われた隕石迎撃砲「スト一ンへンジ」と交代するかの様に稼働を開始した大気磯動宇宙機「アークバード」は期待以上の成果をあげ、現在までに確保された整備範囲をあげると、静止軌道上においては実に80バーセン卜の換算に及ぶという。また「アークバード」はその比類なき潜在能力から新たな宇宙圏プラッ卜フォームとして段階的な運用計画変換の可能性を試される事となっている。軌道上に散らばるスペースデブリへの対応は継続的に行われていくが、将来的にはオーシア・ユーク卜バニア共同による恒久的宇宙ステーション建設ヘの足がかりとして活用されていく方針だ。この計画には既に中央ユージア、ベルーサが参画の表明をしており、今後は地球規模の巨大プ口ジェク卜になることが予想される。これは新たな時代の世界秩序構築に繋がる事を意味し、我々が乗るこの「方舟」の役割はその名の通り新世界ヘのいざないである事に問題はないだろう。

「アークバード宣言」

各国代表は冷戦の終焉をもたらすとともに世界の政治地図を根本的に塗り変えたオ一シア・ユ一卜パニアの強調姿勢を支持し、 この会議以降、劇的な一層の変化が民主主義、市場原理に基づく経済及び社会正義に向けての進歩を加速するものとした。軍縮及び核不拡散に関しては、包括的核実験禁止条約(CTBT)の早期発効、普遍化促進をはじめ、核不拡散努力を継続。余剰兵器プル卜ニウム問題ヘの取り組みを始め、第二次戦略兵器削減条約(START2)ヘの移行を進める。また歴史的な天災を経たユ一ジア大陸のみならず、周辺地域においても難民問題等の責任を共有する新たなパ一トナ一シップへの道を開く事に同意。我々は協カが対立にとって代わる時代に入りつつある、と結んだ。

この世界は全てあなたたちのもの

全ての世界を皆で平和のうちに利用するのだ

目の前に広がる地平、そして遙か宇宙に向けて我々の新たな航海が姶まる。

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