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Gaze
Last Christmas

Evacuees Who Diffuse To the World

Picture

January 1, 1999


The armor shines golden. The people of many nations gather before his beatific countenance. In a world of chaos and confusion, now an atmosphere of solemn silence comes over the castle, and prayers which transcend religion start up. Separated from their homes, they are evacuees partaking of a holy night in new lands. As they bow their head in respect, there are none who can keep from shaking in the face of the greatest threat mankind has ever faced. Fleeing from the doom of Usea that is the coming of Ulysses, people have begun to scatter across the world. 

An Ancient Castle Turned Shelter

Gracemeria: capital of the Republic of Emmeria. This city, designated capital during the transition to a republic, is known also for Kings Bridge, which ties the Old Town to the new city which developed across the bay. It is a highly developed metropolis for Anea, to say nothing of Emmeria itself.

On an elevated hilly patch of land overlooking urban Gracemeria is an old castle from the prosperous time during the 15th century, when monarchs still reigned. Construction work on underground shelters is taking place at a fever pitch on these vast premises, and the first groups of accepted refugees have begun settling down in the part which had already been prepared. While they have not reached the level of excavation as major cities in Usea due to this improvised construction beginning a mere three months ago, according to the construction contractors, the shelter's outer walls will be robust. Constructed out of high strength fiber reinforced concrete, they are said to be impact resistant yet capacious, with the capacity to accommodate as many as 15000 people. The amount of space allocated to each person is 3.3m^2. Whether amenities greater than this will be required is, however, another matter.

Within the city too, there are plans to construct 16 shelters both large and small. Ultimately 200,000 remaining evacuees will face Ulysses Day on this ground. It is the most developed of the major cities of Anea, and it has taken on the most evacuees in the entire world after Oured, the capital of the Osean Federation.

Currently as of December '98, there are plans to erect shelters at 160 locations among the IUN's [1] members alone, and each nation has announced how many evacuees they will take from Usea and its environs according to the difference in their development. Further, refugee support activities for medical supplies, food, blankets, and outreach have already begun with NGOs forming the core. Their network is spreading further.

Half a year remains until the coming of the asteroid. As though hastened by the closing of Ulysses in the northern skies, the great migration of peoples has begun.

The Expanded Breadth of Damage

In the background of this recent massive increase in evacuees is the monthly Ulysses damage forecast released by the International Astronomical Union in July of last year. According to it, a space exploration probe was approaching as of the 42nd month of continued follow-up observation by the Comona Observatory (June 1998). When the imaging and gravity analysis results were synthesized, the composition of the asteroid's structure became more clear. It became evident that Ulysses' internal structure was possibly hollow or otherwise creviced. The IAU astrophysics team recalculated its orbital trajectory based on its internal structure, and Shieldsbridge University verified their work. Upon entering the Earth's gravity, the disintegrated Ulysses would fall in roughly two groupings. It was discovered that the rock fragments would spread more widely over the Earth's surface than had been commonly thought.

Unusually, the IAU announced their damage forecast solely on their own accord. The reason for this was that there was agreement between the FCU government and the IUN [1] assembly that a comprehensive revision of the FCU-led STN project could not at this point conceivably take place. The STN project to that point had aimed to intercept fragments of Ulysses which had crossed the Roche Limit and dispersed over a range assumed to be 1200~1500km from the center of Usea. However, the updated damage pattern was larger than this: it was forecasted that debris would spread in a pattern threading the meridian from 135 degrees east to 30 degrees west.

While the region projected to be most afflicted remained Usea, Stonehenge (the meteorite interceptor cannon), despite its excellent interception capabilities, could not respond in the event that the eastern part of the Anean continent bordering on the Arctic was also affected. Furthermore, the various risks which would arise from increasing its interception range would stoke new fires among nations already struggling to coordinate between themselves. At the present stage, it was judged that the FCU should prioritize ensuring the stability of the STN program overall, and that their partner states credibly fulfill their responsibilities to each other.

Naturally, the nations of Anea were in an uproar when the possibility Ulysses could fall on their continent was suggested. Though completion of Stonehenge in San Salvacion is within sight for Usea, a state of utter despair prevails over us, who can wield neither their technology nor resources in our own defense. There are many who ask the IAU and FCU – who suddenly dropped the possibility of an impact on us – to use their crisis management capabilities to take responsibility, and large scale demonstrations voicing a lack of confidence have erupted across the land. The people feel backed into a corner. It would be impossible to expect a cool headed response in light of these sentiments. Even the most scientifically correct decisions may not be enough to save their lives.

However, in the midst of the chaos, Sir Albert Lawrence of the former royal family of the Emmerian Republic has begun to gather the world to his call.

The World Responds to Emmeria

Evacuees enter the country every day from the air force base on the west side of the castle. Sir Lawrence greets each person individually as though to honor the tired families after their long flight. Lawrence, a descendant of King Aurelius, lobbied the Emmerian government to accept Ulysses evacuees, and further advocated to shape the policies of surrounding nations, especially those ruled by monarchies. The construction of a shelter within the historic castle was by his will, but this decision was made for a reason beyond charity that anyone with a deep understanding of the castle's internal structure will understand.

Castles are something constructed as a defensive position against an assaulting foe. It plays a key role in battles while simultaneously being a storage location for food, weapons, and monetary resources. These castles – places where politics and intelligence converge – are often built in mountainous areas. This is purely for defensive reasons, as it makes it difficult for enemies to ingress, and at the same time provides an escape from flooding and other natural disasters.

Sir Lawrence determined that these construction characteristics also offered certain advantages in the case of a giant asteroid falling on them. The passages and rooms which run extensively underneath the castle could be used as evacuee facilities, and it would be possible to expand them through the firm soil on which the castle rests. It would be possible to efficiently carry out whatever activities necessary to preserve lives for whatever situations arise, since a castle may administer to its supply stockpile independently even if cut off from vital infrastructure. Even in the event a rock falls into the ocean, if you recall the location requirement for a castle – that it must be constructed on an elevation – the effects of a tsunami can be kept to a minimum, even if located in a coastal area.

Almost no currently maintained fortifications in countries other than Gracemeria Castle have any utility beyond their historical value. Noting this point, Sir Lawrence lobbied the royalty in other countries about what they should utilize to aid evacuees. The Emmerian government supported him overall, and developed a comprehensive relief plan prioritizing areas where the impact hazard level is high. They attempted to dispatch vital personnel from international humanitarian organizations and the like using their personnel transport aircraft and ships. "If it were the aggressive FCU, who would defend us? The falling of the asteroid affects us all, and we are calling on you for action." It did not take long for countries to reply to the Emmerian government's cry. 

The Legend of the Golden King

"I remember when I was a kid. Right about where you're standing is where my secret base was," Sir Lawrence recalls with a mischievous smile. We were guided to the audience room where the evacuees are gathered, facing the golden royal statue sitting upon the throne. With many of the display items removed into storage, the only thing left to the citizens was the massive likeness. Sir Lawrence answered the ardent wish of the people that the only thing they wished to share in when the asteroid fell was the Golden King: the cornerstone of the Emmerian people, and their spiritual home. It's said that this is the first place evacuees coming into the country gather as well.
​
The Golden King was made for the heroic king Aurelius II in the Medieval period, based on the god of war "the Golden Giant" as depicted in ancient myths told across Anea. The land of Gracemeria had been blessed since times of old, but as princes fought for control over the territory, Gracemeria was devastated, and public order became poor. She was invaded by foreign nations as well. The kingship fell, and the situation in Emmeria became chaotic. The one who stood up to stop the conflict and stop the intrusions from foreign lands was Aurelius II.

The soldiers in possession of the Golden King, made to improve the morale of their allies, were proud of their victories, and gradually enemies confronted with it began to lose their will to fight. Many victories came without fighting. In the final scheme of things, he won over the Emmerian princes, established his rule domestically, closed the gaps controlled by foreign countries, and stopped the conflict. This story was even referenced in the Declaration of Establishment of a New State during Emmeria's transition to a republic.

Its expression was by Aurelius II's design. Its similarity to a certain nearby face did not escape our notice. It's a face which shows a love of peace as much as courage. It radiates a glow a world apart from the cold weather outside the window, accepting the people's prayers. Today is a blessed day. Many feelings overlap each other, and singing voices can begin to be heard.

Sir Lawrence closes his eyes and says this:

"I want to do as he did. That's all."

The extinction of the dinosaurs 65 million years ago was due to an asteroid impact, but it's possible asteroid impacts have influenced the course of human history greatly before. The sudden annihilation of civilization, the disappearance of culture which seems to cut off at that period, the rise of apocalyptic ideas. But that time, humanity regrew towards prosperity. As written by many historians, perhaps this event will be recorded in history as yet one more great trial for humanity – that is, if we survive to that future day. However, it is our ardent belief that we can conquer the coming hardships and catastrophes. This is not something which befalls but a man; it is the path all humanity walks.

Translation Notes

[1] 国連 (kokuren) refers to the United Nations in real life, but it is unclear what it refers to in Strangereal. This is a matter of debate even among Japanese fans. We assume it is the same IUN mentioned in Usea Today.

Original Text

特集 「世界中に散らばる避難民達」

金色に光る甲冑。その穏やかなる表情の前に、様々な民族が集う。混沌と騒乱の世界においてもなお、粛々とした空気が城内に流れ、信教の違いを超えた祈りが始まる。故郷を離れ、新天地で聖夜を迎える避難民達。礼節を重んじ頭をたれながらも、これから迎える人類史最大の脅威に、震えを抑えられる者はいない。小惑星ユリシーズの落着というユージア大陸に運命付けられた難を逃れ、人々は世界中に散らばり始めた。

「シェルター化された古城」

エメリア共和国首都グレースメリア。共和制の移行と共に遷都されたこの街は、西部旧市街と、湾を挟んで発展した新市街を結ぶ「王様橋("Kings Bridge")」の存在でも知られている。エメリア国内はもちろん、アネア大陸の中でも極めて発展した大都市だ。

そのグレースメリア市街地を一望する小高い丘陵地に、15世紀の王政時代から繁栄を続けてきた古城はある。広大な敷地内では急ピッチで地下シェルターの建造工事が行われており、先行して設営された一部区画では、難民認定者の第一陣受け入れが開始されはじめた。施工開始から3ヶ月という急ごしらえの為、ユージア各地にある主要都市レベルの深度掘削はできなかったものの、地元ゼネコンにより施工されたシェルター外郭は頑強だ。超高強度繊維補強コンクリートで作られたそれは、耐衝撃性を持つと同時に広い内部空間を確保し、収容可能人数は1万5000人規模にも及ぶという。とはいえ一人あたりの割当スペースは約3.3㎡。これ以上の快適性が必要かどうかは、また別の話だが。

市内にはここも含め、大小合わせて16箇所にシェルターが建造される予定で、最終的には20万人余りの避難民がこの地でユリシーズ・デイを迎える。 これはアネア大陸内の主要都市では勿論最大規模であり、全世界の避難民受入分担を見てもオーシア連邦首都オーレッドに次ぐ数字だ。

‘98年12月現在、シェルター設営が計画されている予定地は国連加盟国だけでも160箇所を数え、各国は規模の差こそあれユージア大陸及びその周辺国からの避難民受け入れを表明している。また医療、食糧、毛布、アウトリーチ等の難民支援についても既にNGOを中心とした活動がもたらされ、ネットワークは更に広がりつつある。

小惑星落着まであと半年余。北の空に近づくユリシーズに急かされるように、地球規模での民族大移動が今まさに始まった。

「拡大された被害範囲」

直前でのこうした大規模な避難民増加の背景には、昨年7月に国際天文学連合(IAU)が公表した、小惑星ユリシーズによる被害予測パターンの月次更新報告がある。それによると、コモナ天文台が追跡調査を継続した42ヶ月目(’98年6月)の時点で、探査衛星が接近。撮像及び重力測定結果を総合したところ、小惑星本体の組成がより鮮明化。ユリシーズの内部構造に空洞もしくは隙間が存在している可能性が明らかになった。この内容をもとにIAU天文物理学チームが予測軌道の再計算を行い、シールズブリッジ大学も検算を受託。その結果地球の重力と小惑星の質量から換算すると、分裂したユリシーズは大別して2つのグループに離散。従来想定されていた以上の広範囲に渡り岩石の破片が地表面に分散するものと判明した。

この被害予測パターンは異例にもIAU単独での公表がなされた。その経緯としては、FCU主導によるSTN計画の抜本的見直しをこの段階では到底行えるものではないとFCU政府及び国連議長間で合意された為だ。それまでSTN計画では、ロシュ限界点を超えたユリシーズの分散範囲をユージア大陸中央部から半径1200~1500kmと想定し、迎撃に向けた計画を遂行していた。しかし更新された被害パターンはこれを大きく上回り、東経135度から西経30度までの子午線を貫くかたちで破片が分散すると予測されたのだ。

最大の被災予測地は変わらずユージア大陸とされたが、それ以上に北極を境にしたアネア大陸東部にも影響が及ぶという可能性には、高度な迎撃能力を有する『ストーンヘンジ(:隕石迎撃砲)』を持ってしても対応できるものではない。また迎撃可能範囲を拡張した場合に生ずるであろう様々なリスクは、ただでさえ難航している国家間の調整に新たな火種を生み出しかねない。現段階でFCUが優先すべきは、STN計画全体の安定性確保と、確実な遂行を同盟国間で行う事であると判断された。

無論、大陸内への落着の可能性を示唆され、アネア各国は騒然となる。サンサルバシオンに建設されたストーンヘンジの完成が目前となったユージア大陸はともかく、今から自衛の為に費やせる技術も資源も到底無い自分達には、極めて絶望的な状況を突きつけられたからだ。「衝突の可能性」の報を突然出したIAUとFCU側の危機管理能力に責任を求める声は大きく、各地で不信任を訴える大規模なデモに発展しかけたが、追い込まれた国民の気持ちを察するにとても冷静な対応を求めることは出来なかっただろう。科学的に正しい判断ばかりが人身を救うとは限らないからだ。

しかしこの様な混乱した状況の中、エメリア共和国旧王室アルベルト・ローレンス卿の呼びかけが世界を収束し始める事となる。

「エメリアに呼応する世界」

城の西側にある空軍基地では、連日避難民の入国が行われている。長い空路を経て疲れきった家族達を労う様に、ローレンス卿は一人一人に声をかける。アウレリウス国王の末裔であるローレンス卿は、ユリシーズ難民の国内受け入れをエメリア政府に対して働き掛け、また周辺国―特に王政をしいていた諸外国―に対し路線誘導を提唱した人物だ。歴史的遺産であるグレースメリア城内にシェルターを建造するという英断も氏によるものであるが、これには慈善的判断以上に、城そのものが持つ構造上の特性を深く理解していた理由がある。

「城」とはそもそも、敵に攻め込まれた際の防衛拠点として設けられた構造物である。そこは戦闘を行う際の要であると同時に、食糧や武器、資金の集積場所でもある。そして政治や情報の集約地である城は、往々にして山地に建築されることが多い。これは純粋防衛的な意味を持ち、敵の侵入を困難にすると同時に、水害等の自然災害からも逃れることができる。

この構造特性は、小惑星落着の場合にも大きな利点となるとローレンス卿は判断した。城内地下を縦横無尽に走る通路や部屋はそのまま避難施設として活用でき、頑強な地盤を有する城内であればさらに拡張する事も可能だ。各種インフラが遮断されたとしても備蓄物資の管理を独自に行うことが出来るため、状況に合わせた最適な生命維持活動を行うことが出来る。また万が一海洋に岩石が落着した場合でも、小高い丘の上に建てられている城の立地条件を考えれば、沿岸地であったとしても津波などの影響を最小限に止められる事も大きい。

グレースメリア城に限らず、現在各国が保有管理している城塞は歴史的価値以上の機能を持っていないものが殆どだ。ローレンス卿はこの点に着目し、実際の難民援助に活用すべき事を各国の王室に提唱していったのだ。エメリア政府はこれを全面的に支援し、衝突危険レベル(IMPACT HAZARD LEVEL)の引き上げが行われた地域を優先した網羅的な救済計画を立案。エメリアが保有する航空機、船舶を用いた人員輸送、人道的な国際機関などへの要員派遣を企てた。「攻めのFCUであれば、守りは誰がするのか。小惑星落下という事実は人類にとって等価であり、我々は行動を問われている」エメリア政府のこの掛け声に対し、各国が呼応するのに時間はかからなかった。

「金色の王伝説」

「子供の頃を思いだします。ちょうど貴方の立っている足下辺りが私の秘密基地でした」 ローレンス卿は悪戯っぽく笑う。我々は避難民達が集まる謁見室に案内され、玉座に座る金色の王像を前にした。多くの展示物が保管室内に撤去された中、この大柄な像だけが国民のために残された。エメリア国民の礎であり、心のよりどころである「金色の王」だけは、小惑星落下のその時も共にしたいという民の切なる願いにローレンス卿が対応したものだ。国内に到着した避難民達も、まずこの場所に集まってくるという。

「金色の王」はアネア大陸に伝わる古代神話に描かれた戦神「金色の巨人」を基に、中世の英雄王アウレリウス2世により作られた。古来からグレースメリア周辺は恵まれた土地であり、土地の支配権を巡って諸侯が争いを繰り広げたため、グレースメリアは荒廃し、治安が悪化。諸外国からも侵略を受けるようになり、王権は失墜、エメリア国内は混沌とした状況になった。この争いに終止符を打ち、外国の侵入を防ごうと立ち上がったのがアウレリウス2世だ。

味方の士気向上のために作られたこの「金色の王」を擁する部隊は常勝を誇り、次第にこの像を目の当たりにした敵は戦意を喪失。戦わずして勝つことが多くなった。最終局面では、アウレリウス2世が自らエメリアの諸侯たちを説得し国内を治め諸外国の付け入る隙を封じ、争いに終止符を打ったという。この話は、エメリアが共和制に移行する際の新国家樹立宣言においても引き合いに出された。

表情はアウレリウス2世のアレンジという。確かに我々はこの近くで似た顔を見た事がある。勇ましさよりも、平和を愛する顔だ。窓の外に見える寒空をものともせぬ様な輝きを放ち、人々の祈りを受け止めている。今日は祝福の日。幾多の想いが重ね合わさり、歌声が聞こえはじめる。

ローレンス卿は目を閉じて言う。

「私は彼と同じことをしたいと思っている。それだけです」

6500万年前の恐竜絶滅は巨大な小惑星の衝突によるものとされているが、小惑星の衝突は人類の歴史にも多大な影響を与えてきた可能性があるという。突然の文明の消滅や、ある時期を切り取ったような文化の消失、終末思想の台頭。だがその度に人類は成長し、繁栄を目指してきた。多くの歴史家によって編纂された様に、この出来事もまた人類への大きな試練として史実に残るだろう。それは我々が来年のこの日まで生き延びることが出来た場合ではあるが、これから始まる苦難と破局は必ずや克服できると我々は信じている。これは誰の身にふりかかったものでもない、人類全体が歩む道だからだ。
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